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- WORLD, Page 49If Not the Sandinistas . . .
-
-
- The alternative is Violeta Barrios de Chamorro, widow of
- the venerated Pedro Joaquin Chamorro Cardenal, the La Prensa
- newspaper publisher whose assassination by the right-wing Somoza
- dictatorship in 1978 touched off the uprising that led to the
- Sandinistas' elevation to power. Since winning the nomination
- of the United Nicaraguan Opposition (U.N.O.) coalition last
- September, she has managed to improve on a thoroughly inept
- start. But her campaign still lacks both substance and
- imagination. Dona Violeta does not discuss issues. She appears.
- She smiles. She presses flesh. She departs. Her stump speeches
- are long on teary references to her late husband and short on
- almost everything else.
-
- Some of her early appearances were little short of
- disastrous, revealing her as shockingly unfamiliar with economic
- and foreign-policy issues. She has also spent considerable time
- out of the country, raising funds among wealthy exiles and
- testing the world stage. This has made little impression on an
- electorate more worried about the price of food in Matagalpa.
-
- Alfredo Cesar, one of her chief strategists, promises she
- will stay close to home once the campaign formally opens Dec.
- 4. But Dona Violeta needs more than that to defeat the
- well-organized Ortega. U.N.O. must reach its natural
- constituency among those hurt most by the Sandinistas. Even the
- U.S. is uncertain how strongly to back her. While Ortega is one
- of Bush's least favorite heads of state, lavishing U.S.
- resources on a lost cause could succeed only in making Ortega
- more difficult to deal with in a second term. Still, the U.S.
- will spend $9 million to support the election, giving some to
- U.N.O. and some -- by Nicaraguan law -- to the Sandinista
- government.
-
- "We are conducting our campaign like a long-distance
- runner," says Cesar, "gathering speed as we go along." But
- unless Chamorro injects some substance into her candidacy, the
- race may prove not just long distance but long shot.
-
-